Is Spotify single-handedly dismantling indirect opponents like Sirius XM, too?
And then I realized something. I don’t listen to the radio anymore. Actually, I don’t even listen to satellite radio anymore.
Why is that?
Enter Spotify, whose 70 million-plus paying subscribers are growing the streaming pie overall — but may be shrinking the slices entrenched players.
Like Sirius XM Radio (or, just ‘SiriusXM’ these days). Just this morning, a strange number crossed my desk: 32.7 million. That’s how many paying subscribers SiriusXM counted at the end 2017.
That’s an increase 1.39 million over the year, and 569,000 in the fourth quarter. It’s a subscriber base I’d always considered healthy, especially for a company (or, companies) that almost went bankrupt.
Until I thought about Spotify’s 70 million — and rapidly counting.
And I also realized: Spotify may be seriously crowding out previously ‘insulated’ radio models like Sirius and Pandora. In fact, Spotify the streaming giant is now going directly after radio’s lunch, regardless how that radio is delivered (terrestrial, online, satellite).
(And for further evidence that lunch-eating, I point you to Spotify’s beta-launched Android app, ‘Stations by Spotify’… )
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Either way, Sirius isn’t recording that meteoric subscriber growth that characterizes Spotify. Overall, the satellite radio monopoly recorded a 4.44 percent subscriber increase for the year. According to my calculations, Spotify boosted its paying subscriber based by 63 percent last year.
That’s right, one year.
For those wondering, these are my back–the-soggy-napkin calculations. In December 2016, Spotify had 43 million subscribers. Last month, the streaming platform crossed 70 million subs.
Meanwhile, Sirius is losing money again.
According to its just-released financials, Sirius XM recorded a loss $37 million. That compares unfavorably to a year-2016 gain $205 million.
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Look a little closer, and Sirius recorded a $185 million charge “associated with the revaluation the company’s deferred tax assets as a result the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.” It also ‘wrote f’ $75 million worth value in its Pandora stake — though we’re not sure who advised that ‘investment’.
An interesting thought exercise is this: where would Sirius be today without its crown jewel, Howard Stern?
Of course, Stern made Sirius into a veritable powerhouse. Though course, the personality ‘acquisition’ didn’t come cheaply. Now, Sirius — controlled by Liberty Media — is planning to expand their chief asset. According to Sirius XM’s CEO, Jim Meyer, a Howard Stern video launch is next.
Actually, Meyer viewed 2017 in extraordinarily glowing terms. “The fourth quarter capped a strong year for SiriusXM and was our best quarter for self-pay subscriber growth in five years,” Meyer relayed.
“We exceeded all our 2017 subscriber and financial guidance, even after increasing these targets during the year.”
The question now is whether Sirius XM is becoming an accidental target somebody else. Somebody who isn’t really that interested in radio — yet.
Written while listening to Defeated Sanity (on Willowtip Records) — on Spotify.